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A Look at the Top Recruiting Classes of 2010
Signing day is over, so there is nothing left to talk about with college football now for 6 months except speculate about preseason rankings and complain about the BCS. So how did recruiting go? We already saw how BYU did, probably the biggest surprise in this recruiting season. But Florida and Texas top the charts once again. These two always seem to recruit well, but this was an exception year for both. They got nearly a dozen five star recruits between the two of them. Not far behind were Oklahoma, Alabama and Auburn as well. USC got great talent, but not a lot in terms of quantity.
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Biggest College Football Recruiting Surprise- BYU
If you’re into BYU football recruiting then you have been pleasantly surprised this recruiting season. With 1 five star recruit, the top QB in the country, 5 four star recruits and 16 three star recruits, Scouts.com puts BYU at number 14 in the country for recruiting classes. Why is that important? Because that puts them ahead of USC, Miami (FL), Notre Dame, Ohio State and Clemson.
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College Football Computer Rankings and Strength of Schedule
So here is a conundrum…if college football teams make their schedules years in advance, how can they always ensure they have what the computers will call a “Strong schedule?” Answer: it is impossible. Fresno State beat Illinois this past year. Illinois went to the Rose Bowl very likely at the same time those two teams agreed to play. Turns out Fresno State did not get any boost in the strength of schedule column for that win. Oklahoma lost to Miami (FL) this year. When they made that schedule, Miami (FL) was headed nowhere and not playing very well. Probably looked like an easy game when they made it. So why does schedule strength mean anything to the computer rankings and in the minds of human voters? Good question.
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Do College Football Polls Have Bias?
Let’s see…a bunch of human voters with their own views and opinions, what do you think? Now we have a research study to back it up.
UNF study: AP college football poll voters show regional bias
This should come as no surprise to anyone, but it is always nice to be vindicated.
New Computer Ranking Update
I just wanted to let everyone know I’m making great progress on my own computer rankings. My first run at it was with Boise State. I took their season average in points scored and allowed minus the game against TCU, then took TCU’s season average in points scored and allowed. I then took Boise State’s season average and compared it to each of their opponent’s season average, minus their game against each other. I determined that Boise State should expect to score about 1.5 times their opponent’s season average in points allowed. They should also expect to hold their opponent to about 65% of their season average in points scored. Interesting results.
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Super Early Predictions for 2010 Preseason Rankings
Yeah, yeah, it’s early. But we know a lot of players who are staying and going now, so we can formulate some good guesses as to who the good teams will be in 2010. We also have a lot of peoples’ preseason polls coming out, so we can put that together to get a good look at what the preseason rankings are likely to be. Then again, based on my last post, it’s not like the rankings mean much. But in the spirit of irrelevance, here are my preseason rankings for 2010.
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